What Edge does
Edge generates AI-assisted sports betting tips across short-, medium-, and long-horizon timeframes (day1, day2, day3, day7, day14, day30) and risk tiers (low, mid, high, wildcard). Every tip leg is validated against a live fixture menu sourced from The Odds API to prevent the AI from inventing matches that do not exist.
The app supports BetVictor (a soft UK/IE bookmaker) and Smarkets (a betting exchange with 2% commission and no winner restrictions). Every leg renders both books' decimal odds side by side, highlighting the better price, so the bettor can route each selection to the more favorable venue.
Features
- AI tip generation — Claude-powered tip bundles across six timeframes and four risk tiers, with at least three concrete data points cited per leg (form W-L-D streak, head-to-head record, xG/xGA differential, injuries, motivation) and the explicit formula used to derive each leg's model probability.
- BetVictor vs Smarkets price comparison — Live H2H odds from both books rendered per leg with the higher price flagged. Each leg also has a copy icon to send the structured selection to the clipboard.
- Quarter-Kelly stake sizing — Conservative 0.25 Kelly fraction by default, configurable per user. Stake is forced to zero whenever the kill switch is active.
- Match predictor with freshness scaling — Full 1X2, BTTS, over 2.5, anytime scorer, expected cards/corners forecast per fixture. The model's directive sharpens as kickoff approaches: lineups/injuries/pressers within 24h, this-week training news 1-3 days out, season-long form/xG beyond.
- Bet log with automatic bankroll reconciliation — Settling a bet (won/lost/void) updates the bankroll deterministically.
- CLV and drawdown analytics — Rolling CLV window, drawdown percentage vs configured threshold, automated kill switch when either degrades.
- BetVictor and Smarkets handoff — Open the bookmaker's football page in one click; selections auto-copied to clipboard for pasting into the betslip.
How it works
- The Odds API supplies real upcoming fixtures and live BetVictor and Smarkets prices across 10 tracked soccer leagues (EPL, UCL, UEL, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, Championship, SPL, League of Ireland).
- The Initialize-tips engine (rate-limited to once every 48 hours) sends the next 60 cached fixtures to Claude as a verified menu and asks for a balanced bundle of accumulators and value singles.
- A hallucinated-fixture guard rejects any AI leg whose canonical home/away pair is not in the cached menu, so phantom matches never reach the database.
- Quarter-Kelly stake sizing is applied per tip, and the kill switch evaluates drawdown and rolling CLV before stakes are surfaced.
- The user reviews tips, places them at BetVictor or Smarkets (whichever has the better price), logs the bet, and settles it on result.
FAQ
What bookmakers does Edge support?
BetVictor and Smarkets. Live H2H prices for both books are fetched via The Odds API and rendered side by side per leg.
What is Smarkets?
Smarkets is a betting exchange — instead of betting against a bookie, you are matched with another user who has taken the opposite side. There is no built-in margin, only a 2% commission on net winnings. Smarkets does not limit winning accounts, which makes it useful for consistently profitable bettors.
What is the Kelly criterion?
The Kelly criterion sizes each bet proportional to your edge. Edge defaults to quarter-Kelly (0.25), a conservative fraction that reduces drawdown variance.
What is closing line value (CLV)?
CLV is the difference between the price you took and the market's closing price at kickoff. Persistent positive CLV is the strongest empirical predictor of long-term betting profitability.